Porto vs Carcavelinhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
FCP
5 - 2
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
APO
1 - 4
FCP
22%
19%
59%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
71%
15%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 4
FCP
32%
22%
46%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
63%
18%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 2
FCB
46%
22%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
CAR
1 - 3
SCP
16%
18%
66%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
APO
0 - 4
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
CAR
1 - 4
SLB
18%
19%
63%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
ACA
1 - 0
CAR
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |