Porto vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
SCP
5 - 1
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
FCP
1 - 0
FAB
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
SPB
0 - 3
FCP
23%
28%
49%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
FCP
6 - 1
FAR
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
BOA
2 - 1
VST
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOA
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
BOA
6 - 0
EST
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
ATL
0 - 0
BOA
33%
30%
38%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
BOA
4 - 1
BMA
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |