Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
OLH
2 - 1
FCP
11%
21%
69%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FCP
0 - 0
SLB
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
FCP
3 - 0
RIO
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SPB
1 - 3
FCP
37%
26%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 2
SLB
14%
21%
66%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SLB
1 - 1
VST
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
SLB
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FCP
0 - 0
SLB
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 1
JUV
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |