Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
GDA
1 - 5
FCP
9%
20%
72%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
FCP
4 - 0
AMO
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
RIO
0 - 3
FCP
25%
26%
50%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
VAR
0 - 1
FCP
23%
28%
50%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
FCP
9 - 1
ACA
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
SPB
0 - 2
SLB
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
POR
0 - 1
SLB
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1983 |
SLB
1 - 1
AND
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
SLB
8 - 1
GDA
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |