Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
VIT
1 - 1
FCP
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
FCP
4 - 1
FAR
80%
14%
7%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
UFT
1 - 7
FCP
26%
29%
45%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 1
FAB
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
42%
28%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
SLB
3 - 0
VST
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
BEL
0 - 2
SLB
21%
27%
53%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCB
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
SCP
1 - 2
SLB
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
SLB
6 - 1
COI
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |