Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
SLB
2 - 2
FCP
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
BEL
0 - 0
FCP
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
FCP
3 - 1
BEL
78%
15%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
VST
1 - 2
FCP
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
SLB
2 - 2
FCP
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1968 |
MUD
4 - 1
SLB
68%
17%
16%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1968 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCB
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
FCB
2 - 2
SLB
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1968 |
JUV
0 - 1
SLB
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |