Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
LEX
2 - 3
FCP
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1965 |
SFP
0 - 0
FCP
37%
25%
39%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
FCP
0 - 1
FCB
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
SEI
1 - 2
FCP
11%
19%
70%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
FCP
1 - 0
VST
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
SLB
6 - 1
FAB
87%
8%
4%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
ACA
2 - 2
SLB
24%
22%
55%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1965 |
VST
3 - 1
SLB
27%
21%
52%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1965 |
SLB
9 - 0
SPB
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 4
SLB
23%
21%
56%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |