Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
SPC
0 - 4
FCP
25%
23%
52%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
CAL
2 - 2
FCP
12%
18%
71%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
FCP
6 - 1
VIT
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
FAB
1 - 0
FCP
22%
22%
55%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
SLB
5 - 1
SPB
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
FCB
1 - 3
SLB
22%
22%
57%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
SLB
3 - 2
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
TOR
1 - 5
SLB
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
SPC
1 - 1
SLB
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |