Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1958 |
FCP
9 - 1
DMA
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
DMA
2 - 6
FCP
29%
23%
48%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
FCP
3 - 0
SCP
54%
21%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
SCP
2 - 2
FCP
66%
18%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
FCP
1 - 1
MAR
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1958 |
SLB
11 - 1
HUI
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 8 | 80 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
HUI
2 - 6
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 8 | 80 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCB
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
FCB
1 - 0
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |