Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
30.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
VST
0 - 1
FCP
29%
23%
48%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
FCP
5 - 1
SAL
89%
7%
4%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
TOR
0 - 1
FCP
18%
20%
63%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
FCP
4 - 0
FAB
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
SCP
3 - 0
FCP
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
SLB
5 - 1
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
FCB
1 - 2
SLB
18%
20%
63%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1957 |
SLB
0 - 0
SEV
66%
18%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
SLB
7 - 0
ORI
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1957 |
SEV
3 - 1
SLB
48%
21%
31%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |