Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
SPB
1 - 5
FCP
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
FCP
2 - 0
ATL
75%
15%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
VST
1 - 1
FCP
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
FCP
2 - 0
TOR
88%
8%
5%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
FAB
0 - 4
FCP
31%
22%
48%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
SCP
1 - 3
SLB
63%
18%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
SLB
1 - 1
LGC
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
CAL
0 - 1
SLB
8%
15%
77%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCB
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |