Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
VIT
1 - 1
FCP
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
FCP
0 - 2
VST
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
ATL
2 - 0
FCP
39%
24%
37%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
FCP
2 - 1
ACA
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
FCB
1 - 3
FCP
35%
25%
41%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
57%
19%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
SPB
0 - 1
SLB
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
SPC
0 - 1
SLB
21%
21%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1955 |
SLB
1 - 1
FAB
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |