Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
40.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
ATL
1 - 2
FCP
45%
22%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
FCP
6 - 1
SPC
80%
12%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
FCP
3 - 0
ACA
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
BOA
1 - 0
FCP
30%
23%
47%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
FCP
4 - 1
VIT
79%
12%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
SLB
2 - 0
BOA
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
19%
19%
63%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
SLB
1 - 1
EST
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
SLB
3 - 2
SCP
57%
19%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
81%
12%
8%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |