Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
VST
1 - 3
FCP
26%
20%
54%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
FCP
3 - 1
SAL
83%
10%
8%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
VIT
2 - 2
FCP
34%
20%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
FCP
3 - 2
ACA
82%
10%
8%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1943 |
VST
7 - 0
FCP
29%
21%
50%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
SLB
5 - 1
VIT
90%
6%
4%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
SLB
1 - 1
BEL
68%
16%
16%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
SAL
1 - 6
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
VST
1 - 1
SLB
10%
15%
75%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1943 |
SLB
5 - 1
VST
86%
9%
6%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | -1 |