Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
OLH
3 - 0
FCP
18%
16%
66%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
FCP
5 - 1
LEX
93%
5%
2%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
SCP
5 - 2
FCP
79%
12%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
FCP
3 - 1
BEL
57%
19%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
VIT
3 - 2
FCP
25%
18%
57%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
SLB
7 - 1
FAB
92%
5%
3%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
VIT
5 - 1
SLB
18%
18%
64%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
SLB
3 - 1
OLH
92%
5%
3%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
SLB
5 - 2
UNI
92%
5%
3%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
SLB
6 - 2
ACA
79%
12%
10%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |