Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.5%
17.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
FCP
5 - 1
FCB
91%
6%
3%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCP
50%
20%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ACA
3 - 3
FCP
27%
20%
53%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
58%
18%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
FCP
3 - 1
UNI
90%
6%
4%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
SLB
2 - 4
SCP
54%
20%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 0
SLB
13%
16%
71%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
BEL
5 - 3
SLB
50%
21%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
SLB
6 - 1
BOA
90%
6%
4%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ACA
2 - 2
SLB
27%
20%
53%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |