Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.1%
15.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
OLH
2 - 5
FCP
29%
21%
50%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
FCP
3 - 1
OLH
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
UNI
0 - 0
FCP
14%
16%
70%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1941 |
FCP
7 - 1
BOA
93%
5%
2%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
FCP
5 - 2
SLB
66%
17%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
SLB
8 - 0
SPC
85%
9%
6%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
SPC
0 - 5
SLB
28%
21%
51%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
83%
10%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1941 |
SLB
3 - 2
UNI
88%
8%
5%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
FCP
5 - 2
SLB
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |