Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 6-7
Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
CAR
4 - 4
FCP
27%
22%
51%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAR
85%
9%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
FCP
11 - 1
VIT
76%
14%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
VIT
3 - 2
FCP
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 3
SLB
61%
18%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 0
NAC
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
NAC
0 - 9
SLB
36%
22%
42%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
SLB
3 - 0
LUS
90%
7%
3%
|
86 | 9 | 77 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
LUS
1 - 5
SLB
17%
20%
63%
|
86 | 9 | 77 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 3
SLB
61%
18%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |