Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.9%
20.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
LEX
0 - 5
FCP
33%
22%
46%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
BEL
3 - 0
FCP
45%
22%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCP
18%
19%
63%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
FCP
7 - 0
VST
77%
13%
11%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
SLB
2 - 1
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
SCP
1 - 4
SLB
57%
19%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
SLB
10 - 2
LEX
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
SLB
5 - 1
CAR
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |