Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.1%
20.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1936 |
FCP
5 - 1
ACA
82%
11%
7%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
SCP
3 - 2
FCP
56%
20%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
SCP
2 - 2
FCP
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
FCP
7 - 0
APO
82%
11%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
FCP
7 - 4
ULI
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1936 |
BEL
3 - 1
SLB
48%
21%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
APO
1 - 4
SLB
28%
20%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
SLB
5 - 3
BEL
62%
18%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
SLB
4 - 1
ACA
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
55%
20%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |