Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1987 |
FCP
6 - 0
OEL
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1987 |
FCP
2 - 1
BYM
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
FAR
1 - 0
FCP
19%
28%
53%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
FCP
1 - 0
MAR
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
FCP
0 - 1
SCP
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1987 |
BEL
0 - 1
CHA
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
VIT
2 - 3
BEL
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
BEL
1 - 1
SLB
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
OEL
0 - 2
BEL
43%
29%
27%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
BEL
3 - 1
FAR
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |