Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
2.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
EST
0 - 0
FCP
15%
28%
57%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
FCP
4 - 0
BOA
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1984 |
FCP
3 - 1
RIO
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
VAR
0 - 0
FCP
21%
28%
51%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1983 |
SLB
1 - 2
FCP
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1982 |
RIO
3 - 0
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
AMO
2 - 1
BEL
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
BEL
2 - 2
VIT
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
UDL
1 - 0
BEL
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |