Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1977 |
BOA
2 - 1
FCP
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
FCP
3 - 0
FAF
95%
4%
1%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
FCP
3 - 1
VST
73%
17%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCP
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
FCP
0 - 0
EST
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1977 |
BEL
1 - 2
CDM
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
BMA
1 - 0
BEL
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
BEL
1 - 1
LEX
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
POR
2 - 2
BEL
37%
29%
34%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
BEL
1 - 1
VIT
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |