Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
FCP
1 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
FCP
0 - 1
VAR
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
FCP
5 - 1
LEX
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
NEW
1 - 0
FCP
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
FCB
0 - 0
BEL
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
BEL
2 - 1
UFT
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
VST
4 - 0
BEL
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
BEL
1 - 0
SPB
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |