Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
VST
1 - 2
FCP
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
FCB
1 - 5
FCP
10%
22%
68%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
FCP
3 - 1
VIT
68%
19%
14%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCP
15%
24%
62%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
BEL
4 - 0
SCP
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1968 |
ACA
3 - 1
BEL
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
BEL
3 - 0
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
FAB
0 - 0
BEL
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
BEL
0 - 1
TIR
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |