Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
SEI
0 - 1
FCP
20%
22%
58%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
FCB
1 - 3
FCP
19%
22%
59%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
SLB
2 - 2
FCP
67%
18%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
FCP
3 - 0
OLH
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCB
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1963 |
BEL
0 - 1
ROM
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
ACA
1 - 0
BEL
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1963 |
ROM
2 - 1
BEL
67%
18%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
BEL
1 - 1
SLB
32%
23%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |