Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
16.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
FCB
2 - 0
FCP
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
FCP
7 - 1
SAL
91%
6%
3%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
SPB
2 - 0
FCP
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
FCP
6 - 2
ORI
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
38%
21%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
BEL
3 - 0
BOA
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
VIT
0 - 1
BEL
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
BEL
1 - 1
EST
66%
18%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
SCP
1 - 1
BEL
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |