Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
VST
1 - 2
FCP
27%
19%
54%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
FCP
5 - 1
OLH
77%
12%
11%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
FCP
2 - 4
ACA
82%
10%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
FCP
4 - 3
SLB
47%
20%
33%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1944 |
EST
8 - 1
FCP
33%
20%
47%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
SAL
1 - 6
BEL
15%
18%
68%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
ACA
0 - 3
BEL
35%
21%
45%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
BEL
2 - 4
SCP
37%
21%
42%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
EST
1 - 2
BEL
32%
21%
47%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 1
BEL
17%
18%
66%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | -1 |