Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
FCP
1 - 3
SCP
38%
20%
42%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
FCP
3 - 1
OLH
80%
11%
9%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 3
FCP
75%
13%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
88%
7%
5%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
SAL
0 - 5
FCP
29%
20%
51%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
BEL
1 - 2
VST
86%
9%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
BEL
5 - 1
SAL
89%
7%
4%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 2
BEL
17%
18%
66%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
BEL
1 - 3
ATL
82%
10%
7%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
54%
19%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |