Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
23.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
VIT
3 - 2
FCP
25%
18%
57%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
80%
11%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
FCP
3 - 4
FAB
91%
6%
3%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
FCP
2 - 6
UNI
91%
6%
3%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
SLB
12 - 2
FCP
62%
18%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
LEX
2 - 4
BEL
8%
13%
79%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
FAB
0 - 8
BEL
14%
17%
69%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
BEL
5 - 0
SCP
43%
21%
36%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
SLB
4 - 2
BEL
66%
17%
17%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
OLH
0 - 4
BEL
14%
17%
69%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |