Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 5-7
Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.9%
8.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1940 |
BOA
0 - 6
FCP
29%
21%
50%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1940 |
FCP
7 - 0
BOA
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
FCP
10 - 3
LEX
89%
7%
4%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
LEX
1 - 12
FCP
26%
21%
54%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
SLB
2 - 3
FCP
59%
18%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1940 |
SCP
3 - 1
BEL
79%
12%
10%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1940 |
BEL
4 - 1
SCP
40%
21%
39%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
SPC
0 - 6
BEL
34%
22%
44%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
BEL
7 - 0
SPC
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
BEL
8 - 0
VST
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |