Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.5%
11.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 1
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
SCP
4 - 4
FCP
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCP
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
FCP
4 - 0
APO
90%
6%
3%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
15%
18%
67%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
CAS
2 - 3
BEL
15%
19%
66%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCB
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
APO
3 - 1
BEL
29%
22%
49%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1939 |
BEL
0 - 2
SCP
49%
20%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
BEL
8 - 1
ACA
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |