Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.7%
18.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 0
ACA
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
SCP
9 - 1
FCP
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
VST
3 - 0
FCP
36%
22%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
FCP
4 - 2
CAR
88%
8%
5%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
62%
18%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
3 - 0
CAR
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
ACA
3 - 5
BEL
33%
22%
45%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
SCP
2 - 3
BEL
64%
17%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
BEL
9 - 0
LEX
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
VST
1 - 5
BEL
45%
21%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |