Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
68%
16%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
SLB
5 - 1
FCP
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
ACA
2 - 4
FCP
23%
20%
58%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
FCP
10 - 1
SCP
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
VST
1 - 1
FCP
47%
21%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
BEL
1 - 2
SCP
47%
21%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
VST
0 - 2
BEL
53%
20%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
70%
16%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
BEL
3 - 0
BOA
64%
17%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
SCP
4 - 1
BEL
61%
18%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |