Porto vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
CDM
1 - 2
FCP
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 1
FAB
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 2
FCP
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 0
ORI
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
BMA
0 - 3
VST
23%
29%
48%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
CDM
2 - 0
BMA
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
BMA
3 - 2
FCB
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
FAB
4 - 1
BMA
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
BMA
4 - 2
OLH
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |