Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Porto vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
FCP
3 - 2
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2000 |
HER
0 - 1
FCP
25%
24%
50%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
40%
26%
34%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
FCP
2 - 2
SPA
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
WOL
1 - 1
BYM
21%
24%
55%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
BYM
2 - 2
KAI
72%
17%
11%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
DYN
2 - 0
BYM
11%
19%
70%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
HER
1 - 1
BYM
18%
23%
59%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
BYM
2 - 1
RBK
73%
17%
11%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |