Qualif. Champions Segunda ronda Final
Global 9-3
Porto vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
FCP
2 - 0
MAR
78%
16%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
FCP
4 - 0
BOA
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2001 |
EST
2 - 3
FCP
12%
20%
68%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
FCP
0 - 1
SCP
61%
20%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
FCP
3 - 0
UDL
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2001 |
SHA
0 - 1
BAR
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2001 |
BAR
2 - 0
SHA
74%
16%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
BAR
0 - 2
NEW
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2001 |
BAR
6 - 0
OSW
79%
13%
8%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAR
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |