Porto vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
FCP
1 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
EST
2 - 2
FCP
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
AUS
0 - 1
FCP
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FCP
2 - 0
GFC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
FCP
26%
25%
50%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
RMA
0 - 1
ATM
83%
11%
6%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 1
OSA
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
VAD
0 - 2
ATM
21%
26%
54%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
ATM
3 - 1
ZEN
65%
20%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ATM
4 - 2
ALM
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |