Porto vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
SCP
44%
27%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 0
FCP
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
CHL
1 - 0
FCP
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FCP
4 - 1
LEX
69%
21%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 3
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
VCF
2 - 2
ATM
56%
22%
22%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 2
ALM
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
FCB
5 - 2
ATM
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
ATM
0 - 0
APO
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ATM
1 - 1
RAC
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |