Porto vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
BOA
0 - 6
FCP
38%
23%
39%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
FCP
0 - 2
BEL
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
VST
1 - 1
FCP
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
LGC
2 - 0
FCP
27%
23%
50%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACA
64%
18%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
SLB
2 - 0
ATL
88%
8%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
ATL
3 - 0
FCB
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
VIT
2 - 1
ATL
48%
24%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
ATL
6 - 2
ORI
69%
16%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |