Porto vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4.5%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.3%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
11.3%
9.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
VST
1 - 4
FCP
34%
21%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
FCP
3 - 2
VIT
91%
6%
3%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
FCP
1 - 4
SCP
37%
20%
43%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
81%
11%
8%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
76%
13%
11%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
ATL
1 - 1
SLB
20%
19%
61%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
ACA
2 - 3
ATL
44%
21%
35%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1945 |
ATL
1 - 2
OLH
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1945 |
OLH
5 - 0
ATL
62%
18%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
SLE
1 - 5
ATL
63%
19%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |