Porto vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
3%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
3.3%
6-3
0.9%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
4.5%
5-3
1.5%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.2%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
11.2%
9.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
BEL
4 - 0
FCP
69%
16%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
82%
11%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
OLH
4 - 2
FCP
30%
20%
50%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1943 |
FCP
2 - 2
SLB
50%
20%
30%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
VST
1 - 3
FCP
26%
20%
54%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
OLH
2 - 0
ATL
53%
20%
27%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ATL
3 - 1
SLB
17%
18%
65%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
SCP
2 - 2
ATL
93%
5%
2%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1943 |
ACA
1 - 2
ATL
56%
19%
25%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
ATL
2 - 2
BEL
23%
20%
57%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |