Champions League Last 16
Global 1-1
Porto vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
70.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 0
ESA
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
ARO
3 - 2
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FCP
0 - 0
RIO
74%
17%
10%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 3
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FCP
5 - 0
MOR
70%
18%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 5
ARS
13%
21%
67%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
WHU
0 - 6
ARS
27%
25%
48%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ARS
3 - 1
LIV
29%
23%
48%
|
97 | 100 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
NTT
1 - 2
ARS
13%
21%
66%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ARS
5 - 0
CRY
78%
15%
8%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |