Champions League Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 2-6
Porto vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LEX
0 - 0
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
FCP
1 - 0
ACA
68%
20%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
FCP
3 - 0
NAV
74%
18%
9%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
FCP
5 - 2
SCP
47%
27%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 4
FCP
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
55%
23%
22%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CHL
2 - 0
ARS
61%
21%
18%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ARS
1 - 3
MUD
44%
25%
30%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ASV
0 - 0
ARS
28%
25%
48%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
STO
3 - 1
ARS
15%
22%
62%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |