Porto vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
FCP
2 - 0
BOA
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
20%
27%
54%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
CSK
0 - 2
FCP
44%
27%
29%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
FCP
2 - 1
ACA
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2006 |
VST
0 - 3
FCP
20%
27%
54%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ARS
3 - 0
TOT
70%
19%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2006 |
FUL
2 - 1
ARS
21%
27%
53%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
BOL
3 - 1
ARS
22%
28%
50%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
ARS
3 - 1
HSV
77%
16%
7%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 1
NEW
71%
18%
11%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |