Porto vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2000 |
WIS
0 - 0
FCP
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
SCP
0 - 1
FCP
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
FCP
2 - 0
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2000 |
FAR
1 - 3
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
FCP
1 - 0
PAR
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
ALV
5 - 1
AVE
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
SAL
3 - 1
ALV
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
ALV
2 - 0
GFC
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
SPB
1 - 1
ALV
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
SCP
1 - 1
ALV
76%
17%
7%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +1 |