Porto vs Academico do Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93%
Win probability
4.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1.2%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.6%
8-0
2.3%
9-1
0.9%
10-2
0.2%
+8
3.4%
7-0
4%
8-1
1.7%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.2%
6-0
6.2%
7-1
3.1%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
4.7%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
6.1%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9%
4.3%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
4.3%
2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
LEX
2 - 5
FCP
11%
16%
73%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
FCP
11 - 0
VST
88%
7%
5%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1939 |
SLB
6 - 0
FCP
62%
18%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1939 |
FCP
6 - 1
SLB
58%
19%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
CAR
4 - 4
FCP
27%
22%
51%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Academico do Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
APO
0 - 1
SCP
10%
14%
76%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
SLB
1 - 0
APO
91%
6%
3%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
APO
1 - 2
ACA
57%
19%
25%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 3
APO
67%
17%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 5
APO
40%
22%
38%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |