Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
FCP
0 - 0
LYO
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 1
FCP
53%
22%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
FCP
3 - 0
CEL
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 5
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 1
CEL
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SCP
0 - 1
ACA
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 2
ACA
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 0
VST
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
SCP
2 - 1
ACA
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |