Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2002 |
FCP
3 - 0
LEN
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
FCP
2 - 0
TRO
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2002 |
MOR
0 - 1
FCP
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2002 |
FCP
2 - 0
AUS
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
VST
0 - 1
FCP
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
OLM
2 - 3
ACA
37%
24%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
ACA
1 - 1
VST
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
NAC
3 - 2
ACA
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ACA
3 - 2
UDL
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
SLB
1 - 1
ACA
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |