Porto vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
OLH
1 - 2
FCP
27%
29%
45%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
FCP
0 - 4
BEL
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
FCP
4 - 0
ORI
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
FAB
2 - 1
FCP
28%
28%
44%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ACA
0 - 0
SLB
18%
26%
56%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
ACA
3 - 1
OLH
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 3
ACA
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 3
SCP
18%
26%
56%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
ORI
2 - 2
ACA
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |